Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000621 0.000709 0.000802 0.000907 0.001024 0.001148 0.001290
2025-08-10 0.000492 0.000615 0.000754 0.000923 0.001120 0.001343 0.001611
2025-08-17 0.000416 0.000554 0.000717 0.000923 0.001175 0.001468 0.001833
2025-08-24 0.000345 0.000486 0.000663 0.000894 0.001185 0.001535 0.001984
2025-08-31 0.000290 0.000432 0.000616 0.000866 0.001191 0.001592 0.002119
2025-09-07 0.000255 0.000399 0.000593 0.000863 0.001224 0.001681 0.002293
2025-09-14 0.000227 0.000373 0.000574 0.000864 0.001261 0.001772 0.002470
2025-09-21 0.000200 0.000345 0.000551 0.000856 0.001282 0.001843 0.002621
2025-09-28 0.000176 0.000317 0.000525 0.000841 0.001292 0.001898 0.002751
2025-10-05 0.000165 0.000309 0.000527 0.000865 0.001357 0.002026 0.002981
2025-10-12 0.000154 0.000299 0.000525 0.000882 0.001412 0.002142 0.003196
2025-10-19 0.000138 0.000280 0.000507 0.000874 0.001429 0.002205 0.003341
2025-10-26 0.000121 0.000258 0.000484 0.000858 0.001433 0.002251 0.003463
2025-11-02 0.000112 0.000248 0.000478 0.000868 0.001476 0.002352 0.003666
2025-11-09 0.000102 0.000236 0.000468 0.000870 0.001507 0.002437 0.003845
2025-11-16 0.000088 0.000214 0.000440 0.000841 0.001489 0.002449 0.003921
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000195 0.000415 0.000815 0.001473 0.002463 0.003999
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000185 0.000405 0.000812 0.001494 0.002531 0.004157
2025-12-07 0.000063 0.000176 0.000397 0.000813 0.001520 0.002608 0.004328
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000165 0.000384 0.000805 0.001531 0.002660 0.004464
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000154 0.000369 0.000791 0.001531 0.002696 0.004575
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000153 0.000374 0.000814 0.001593 0.002831 0.004838
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000150 0.000375 0.000830 0.001645 0.002949 0.005079